Ongoing Research Projects
A Novel Framework Development for Grid-based Heat-Health Impact Forecasting and Risk Assessment
This project aims to develop a novel framework for global grid-based heat-health risk assessment by integrating traditional risk analysis with impact-based forecasting. It combines the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) to classify heat stress levels with Earth observation data, such as NASA’s night-time light imagery as proxies for exposure and socio-economic vulnerability. A geospatial approach is being applied to overcome data granularity challenges and to map potential health risks across diverse spatial units. The framework also seeks to identify at-risk populations, including vulnerable occupational groups like garment and factory workers, with a focus on promoting environmental justice through more targeted and anticipatory heat risk management.
Formulation of a Dynamic Multi-Risk Model for Anticipating Complex Humanitarian Crises
This project aims to develop a dynamic multi-risk formula for anticipating complex humanitarian crises, with a focus on Fragility, Conflict, and Violence (FCV) contexts. The model will mathematically represent the interaction of multiple, often overlapping hazards, including conflict, displacement, climate shocks, and health emergencies, while treating vulnerability and exposure as dynamic variables that evolve over time and across scenarios. By integrating impact forecasting concepts, the formula seeks to fill a critical gap in early warning systems through a quantifiable and adaptive assessment of crisis risks in complex environments.